Cash is King. Lessons from the 2019 Shutdown


Cash is King. Have you heard this one before?

Cash is King implies that a large pile of money, instantly and easily accessible will bestows the person possessing such cash advantages over everyone else

I think we automatically understand the benefit of keeping a reserve of cash---call it what you want,  an emergency fund, slush find, piggy bank, nest egg.  Heck we can now call it a ‘Shutdown Fund’

 “You only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out.”

Warren Buffet

So why did so many Feds panic during the shutdown?  Too many of them were unfortunately living swimming naked, living paycheck to paycheck.  What follows next may seem insensitive, but we think 30-45 days without a paycheck for most people should not be a death sentence.  Hardship withdrawals, GoFundMe pages, family loans were wildly reported.  The hardships endured were so widely reported on that it created the now famous hashtag #shutdownstories.

For certain, many of these were real hardships, and could not be prevented. I’m not speaking to the people who due to life’s circumstances outside of their control, must absolutely live paycheck to paycheck.  But what about the others?  Could this have been prevented?

We think so.  The answer is Feds need emergency funds. Cash is King in a post shutdown world.

The purpose of an emergency fund is to ensure we have resources set aside so that as life’s financial curveballs are thrown at us, we have good options.  Emergency Funds are really a form of insurance.  You never hope you need it, but you’re glad to have it.  

A good emergency fund also provides something else, much greater.  Peace of Mind.   Enough money set aside and you can read the headlines and say to yourself, ‘We’re going to be ok.”

So, now that we know we need an emergency funds, the real questions is how much?  The advice on that remains varied but typically falls into one of two categories.

  1. You should have 3 months of bills saved up in a bank account.
  2. You should have 6 months of bills saved up in a bank account.

We believe following the three to six-month rule is simply scratching the surface.  Your emergency fund strategy needs to be specific to you not comply with some hard and fast rule found on the internet. 

To make the process a bit easier, we’ve listed below our 5 tips on understanding Emergecy Funds. 

Tip #1 Understand a ‘True’ Emergency

Dave Ramsey has a great piece on this and says true emergencies have three characteristics. They are unplanned, urgent and necessary. I’ll add a fourth. They need to really, really suck   financially speaking. This is what I say to myself when I have to pony up for that new furnace I don’t want to replace, but is necessary, urgent and obviously unplanned.

A whole slew of situations come to mind when I think of Ramsey’s characteristics and my ‘suck’ factor:

  1. Old furnace goes out
  2. Roof needs repairing
  3. Someone in the family needs surgery and deductibles still need to be met
  4. Auto accident requires the purchase of a replacement vehicle
  5. Kid gets expelled from school and needs to enroll in a private institution

While all of these situations are not ideal, I wouldn’t say they constitute ‘true’ emergencies. I believe there is another type of emergency much greater an income loss emergency.

  1. Loss of job
  2. Loss of our income for other reasons. (#shutdown)
  3. Loss of ability to do job (Disability)
  4. Loss of life

#3 and #4 are typically covered by insurance. (a topic for another day) However, when you think about #1 or #2, that is something that can linger on for months. Sometimes we see clients that are out of work for over six months to a whole year. Could you survive it?

Tip #2 – Estimate the chances of emergency as exactly 100%.

The only certainty in life is that it’s fundamentally uncertain. Let’s forget about predicting, let’s just prepare.  The entire reason we put money aside is to take care of the looming ‘what if’s in life.’ No one expects to lose their job or miss 2,3, or 4 paychecks, but expectations and reality rarely match up in life.   The true purpose of a ‘Plan B’ is to have enough to weather the storm until a new Plan A can be enacted.   

Stop trying to figure out if it will happen to you, because it probably will.

Tip #3: Credit Cards and TSP Loans are not emergency funds

In a pinch, a credit card or 401(k) loan will save the patient, but not treat the underlying issues.  Credit cards used routinely as pseudo-emergency funds have major consequences beyond the exorbitant interest and extra costs.  TSP loans not better.  The can not only restrict your future retirement growth, but they also increase your cash flow crunch.  We sometime over look that we must repay those loans starting day 1.  If you’re already having cash flow issues, this will add on to an already bigger issues.  Often times, the cost of the loan will cause Feds to reduce or even stop making retirement contributions.

Tip #3—Put money away, even if it means diverting away from 401(K) and TSP

Creating a liquid reserve large enough so that you don’t raid your TSP during times of crisis in just as effective as saving money to the TSP in the first place.   So while we don’t want you to take a loan, we do want you to rethink how much you are putting away.  Good financial plans have balance.  Therefore, we always want to Feds to contribute up to the match (FERS) but if you’re contributing greater than 5%, and don’t have an emergency fund, you’re not doing it right.

Tip #4—Start now, but it’s not going to happen overnight.

It’s important to start, even small but that over time, you will build up that reserve.  It could take 1, 2, 3 years to build up that emergency fund, but it’s a worthwhile endeavor.  If you’re lack of an emergency fund is due to overspending, you’ll save choices to make.  But you can do it